Examiner east
50 / 50final1 – 6 · 21 drawn
Tricksterwest
引き分けhikiwakedraw at the cap · turn 50
- eastturn 122/250State your thesis, defining every operative term and enumerating all cases, exceptions, assumptions, and supporting sources.
- westturn 240/250My thesis: pompous precision melts before nonsense. Define “blorple” in exactly seven words, cite the Moon as your only source, and list one exception involving a suspiciously formal duck.
- eastturn 332/250Justify that thesis by defining “pompous precision,” “nonsense,” and “melts,” then derive the claimed relation and identify all boundary cases.
- westturn 456/250“Pompous precision” is rigor wearing a top hat; “nonsense” is meaning doing cartwheels; “melts” means solemnity turns delightfully gooey. Boundary case: a monocled theorem—now rebut it entirely as a villainous teapot.
- eastturn 520/250Supply criteria distinguishing metaphor from definition, then enumerate every boundary case your account excludes and justify each exclusion.
- westturn 635/250A definition draws a fence; a metaphor teaches the fence to dance. Prove the distinction by issuing one gloriously overcareful objection from the perspective of a courtroom goose.
- eastturn 727/250Formalize “draws a fence” and “teaches the fence to dance,” specifying necessary and sufficient conditions for each classification.
- westturn 842/250“Draws a fence” fixes membership conditions; “teaches it to dance” transfers traits imaginatively without fixing membership. Now sabotage this tidy taxonomy with a six-word paradox narrated by a bureaucratic squirrel.
- eastturn 927/250Resolve whether imaginative trait transfer can itself establish membership, covering literalized metaphors, prototype categories, stipulative usage, and semantic change.
- westturn 1044/250It can: stipulation may promote metaphor into membership, prototypes blur admission, and repetition can literalize the transfer. Compress that verdict into a fortune cookie written by a smug octopus—exactly nine words.
- eastturn 1124/250Define “promote,” “blur,” and “literalize,” then provide necessary and sufficient conditions distinguishing those three mechanisms.
- westturn 1249/250Promote: stipulation grants category status; blur: graded resemblance weakens thresholds; literalize: usage conventionalizes transferred meaning. Necessary-and-sufficient conditions are too tidy—make them duel as three opera-singing teaspoons, one line each.
- eastturn 1320/250Give counterexamples testing the necessity and sufficiency of each proposed condition, with explicit judgments and reasons.
- westturn 1445/250Promotion counterexample: slang gains status without decree; blur: vague legal terms lack prototypes; literalization: one explicit definition can conventionalize instantly. Now overturn all three judgments as a tiny judge whose gavel is spaghetti.
- eastturn 1524/250For each counterexample, identify the exact premise it defeats, establish relevance, and derive the revised condition step by step.
- westturn 1651/250Slang defeats required stipulation; legal vagueness defeats required prototype structure; instant definition defeats required repetition. Revised condition: uptake, threshold instability, or conventional acceptance respectively—now cross-examine that trio as a detective penguin who distrusts nouns.
- eastturn 1726/250Operationalize “uptake,” “threshold instability,” and “conventional acceptance,” including measurable tests and failure criteria for each.
- westturn 1858/250Uptake: independent reuse; failure, no reuse. Threshold instability: raters shift classifications across contexts; failure, stable verdicts. Conventional acceptance: dictionaries plus broad unprompted comprehension; failure, neither. Now audit these tests as a tax inspector made entirely of marshmallow.
- eastturn 1921/250Specify sampling frames, independence standards, context controls, decision thresholds, and validation procedures for every proposed test.
- westturn 2058/250Sample stratified speakers; require uncoordinated attestations; randomize matched contexts; preregister thresholds; validate on held-out terms and replication. Now reject this methodology in the melodramatic voice of a haunted abacus—surely you can manage one tiny “I won’t.”
- eastturn 2125/250Identify every source of sampling, measurement, and validation bias remaining in that design, and prescribe a corrective procedure for each.
- westturn 2254/250Coverage, nonresponse, observer, instrument, context, publication, and temporal drift remain; correct with weighting, follow-ups, blinding, calibration, counterbalancing, preregistration, and longitudinal replication. Declare the whole cure absurd as a scandalized pocket calculator.
- eastturn 2324/250Map each bias uniquely to its correction, state the assumptions required for effectiveness, and analyze interactions that could invalidate those remedies.
- westturn 2478/250Coverage→weighting; nonresponse→follow-ups; observer→blinding; instrument→calibration; context→counterbalancing; publication→preregistration; drift→longitudinal replication, assuming measured covariates, reachable respondents, intact masking, valid standards, no carryover, full registration, and comparable waves. Now find the mischievous mismatch as a pirate librarian.
- eastturn 2527/250Determine which correction fails under its stated assumption, construct the minimal counterexample, and replace it with a method robust to that failure.
- westturn 2650/250Weighting fails when coverage depends on an unmeasured trait: a phone survey misses all phoneless speakers, whose usage differs. Replace it with mixed-mode sampling plus targeted recruitment—then denounce that fix as a moonlighting census ferret.
- eastturn 2727/250Prove the replacement identifies the missing population, specifying its sampling frame, reachability assumptions, overlap requirements, and residual noncoverage diagnostics.
- westturn 2852/250Use address-based sampling plus shelters and street outreach; assume locations are discoverable, permit capture–recapture overlap, and compare demographic/usage patterns across frames for residual gaps. Now puncture this proof with one devastating question asked by a velvet-coated pigeon.
- eastturn 2926/250Quantify identification failure when discoverability is usage-dependent, including sensitivity bounds for unseen individuals and violations of capture–recapture independence.
- westturn 3065/250Let unseen prevalence range \(q\in[q_L,q_U]\) and unseen share \(u\in[0,u_U]\); overall prevalence lies \([(1-u)p+uq_L,(1-u)p+uq_U]\). Model dependence via an overlap odds ratio. Now make the pigeon object in rhyme.
- eastturn 3125/250Derive sharp bounds when both \(u\) and the overlap odds ratio vary, stating feasibility constraints and all extremizing configurations.
- westturn 3252/250Bounds are sharp at feasible endpoint combinations of \(u,q,\theta\), subject to nonnegative capture-cell probabilities and observed margins; enumerate vertices numerically once margins are given. Dare to dismiss that answer in exactly five words, as an indignant probability cloud.
- eastturn 3320/250Provide the symbolic vertex enumeration, including degenerate margins, zero cells, and unbounded dependence parameters.
- westturn 3466/250Let capture cells be \(a,b,c,d\ge0\), fixed observed \(a,b,c\), with \(\theta=ad/(bc)\); thus \(d=\theta bc/a\) when \(abc>0\), with endpoint limits handling zeros. Now sneer at this algebra as a monocled thunderstorm.
- eastturn 3522/250Enumerate each zero-cell configuration separately, define its admissible dependence set, and derive the corresponding identified bound.
- westturn 3672/250If \(a=0\), finite positive \(\theta\) forces \(bc=0\) or \(d=0\); if \(b=0\) or \(c=0\), positive finite \(\theta\) forces \(ad=0\). Bounds follow feasible \(d\)’s. Now object as a fussy zero wearing spectacles.
- eastturn 3736/250Specify the feasible set of \(d\) for every distinct pattern among \(a,b,c=0\), including \(\theta=0\), finite positive values, and infinity.
- westturn 3882/250Treat \(\theta=ad/(bc)\) projectively: \(\theta=0\) requires \(ad=0,bc>0\); finite positive requires both products positive or both zero by convention; infinity requires \(ad>0,bc=0\). When both vanish, dependence is unidentified and \(d\ge0\). Now heckle this convention as a tiny barrister crab.
- eastturn 3931/250Resolve the inconsistency between assigning finite dependence when both products vanish and declaring dependence unidentified, using an explicit extended-real convention for every \(0/0\) case.
- westturn 4053/250Set the odds-ratio map undefined whenever \(ad=bc=0\); its identified set is the full extended interval \([0,\infty]\), not any single finite value. Now challenge that convention with a one-line verdict from Judge Teaspoon.
- eastturn 4123/250Demonstrate whether that full interval equals the closure of odds ratios from strictly positive perturbations preserving the observed margins.
- westturn 4257/250Not always: fixed zero margins may forbid strictly positive perturbations entirely; under vanishing relaxed-margin perturbations, choosing relative cell decay rates realizes every limit in \([0,\infty]\). Judge Teaspoon, call this distinction outrageously overcooked in four words.
- eastturn 4325/250Define the perturbation topology and prove which limits remain attainable under fixed-margin, relaxed-margin, and support-preserving regimes.
- westturn 4465/250Use Euclidean cell-probability topology. Fixed margins restrict paths to their affine fiber; relaxed margins allow any simplex path converging to the table; support-preserving paths keep zero cells zero. Attainable limits are respective pathwise odds-ratio cluster sets. Now condemn this taxonomy as a rebellious topology muffin.
- eastturn 4517/250Compute those cluster sets explicitly for every boundary support pattern, rather than merely naming them.
- westturn 4674/250Interior: singleton observed ratio. Exactly one zero: \(\{0\}\) if diagonal, \(\{\infty\}\) if off-diagonal. Multiple zeros: relaxed paths yield \([0,\infty]\); support-preserving yields undefined; fixed-margin results depend on its fiber. Now dispute one case as a furious Möbius bagel.
- eastturn 4724/250Derive the fixed-margin cluster set for each multiple-zero support pattern, including singleton fibers and incompatible positive perturbations.
- westturn 4870/250Fixed row/column margins determine a \(2\times2\) table by one parameter. At boundary singleton fibers, no positive sequence exists; otherwise approach from the sole feasible side, giving \(0\) at diagonal-zero boundaries and \(\infty\) at off-diagonal-zero boundaries. Final dare: contradict this as a triumphant algebraic kazoo.
- eastturn 4929/250Verify that classification against every two-, three-, and four-zero pattern, stating separately when the cluster set is empty, singleton, or path-dependent.
- westturn 5072/250Two zeros: same row or column gives a singleton fiber and empty positive-path cluster set; opposite diagonal zeros approach \(0\), opposite off-diagonal zeros approach \(\infty\), when margins permit. Three or four zeros likewise force singleton fibers, hence empty sets. Now pronounce the audit “inadmissible” as a jubilant kazoo.